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In 2007, the price of paste resin fluctuates, and the overall trend appears to be better in the first half than in the second half of the year. In the first quarter, the price of paste resin oscillated slightly, and the mainstream ex-factory price fluctuated between 9800 and 10400 yuan/ton; in the second quarter, the price of paste resin showed a rising trend; the mainstream ex-factory price was between 10,200 and 10,700 yuan/ton; The price of the resin is mainly concentrated, with the mainstream ex-factory price at 10,100 to 10,600 yuan/ton. In the fourth quarter, the price fell, and the mainstream ex-factory price was at 9,600 to 10,300 yuan/ton.
Last year, the domestic paste resin market showed five major trends: First, the expansion of production ushered in the peak, the annual new domestic paste resin production capacity of 115,000 tons, as many as the expansion of manufacturers, unprecedented scale; Second, the country will paste resin exports The tax rebate rate was significantly reduced from 11% to 5%. Most manufacturers' exports of paste resin were blocked, and exports of some downstream export-oriented enterprises were also affected, directly affecting the operating rate of enterprises and the demand for paste resins. Third, they were affected by high international crude oil price fluctuations. The prices of oil chain products such as vinyl chloride and ethylene dichloride have remained relatively high, which has increased the cost of foreign ethylene oxychloride paste resins, reduced the volume of imports, and weakened the impact on the domestic market. Fourth, the increase in electricity prices and environmental protection, etc. Constrained by factors, the shortage of calcium carbide during the year and the continuous rise in prices, various manufacturers have increased procurement efforts, calcium carbide cargo prices raise the cost of paste resin production; Fifth, the gap between the prices of paste resin is still relatively large.
Looking ahead to 2008, the paste resin market can be described as both opportunities and challenges. The favorable factors faced in this field are as follows: the international crude oil price is fluctuated at a high level, the cost of foreign ethylene oxychloride paste resins will remain high, the price of imported paste resin will be firm, which will help the relative stability of the domestic market; rise in electricity prices and environmental protection Due to various factors, domestic calcium carbide prices are highly likely to operate. To a certain extent, they will form a support for the price of paste resins; the downstream industries such as automotive leather, wallpaper, advertising cloth and toys will have a demand for paste resins. A certain degree of growth, especially the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games will have a positive impact on the domestic paste resin market.
This year, the domestic market also faces several unfavorable factors. First, the market expansion pressure. Following the large-scale production expansion of paste resin in China in 2007, the main paste resin production plant in China, Zhangzhou Huaxiang Chemical Co., Ltd. also has an expansion plan in 2008. The new production capacity is expected to reach 50,000 tons/year, and the total production capacity will increase to 10 10,000 tons/year. In addition, Hubei Yichang Sanshui Investment Co., Ltd. is also preparing to build a 40,000-ton/year paste resin production facility. Second, the import tariffs on paste resins were substantially reduced in the second half of last year. The negative impact on the market in 2008 will continue to show, and domestic paste resin manufacturers and export-oriented downstream users will be tested. Third, with the introduction of domestic paste resin product standards, higher product quality requirements have been put forward. In addition, the possibility that the renminbi will continue to appreciate will adversely affect the export of paste resins, and the decline in exports will increase the pressure on the domestic market and thus strengthen price competition.
Paste resin: price competition is inevitable
In 2007, the domestic paste resin production capacity increased from 390,000 tons/year to 500,000 tons/year, and it is estimated that the production of paste resin will be completed by 388,000 tons, and the sales volume will be 383,000 tons. The production and sales will increase by 25% year-on-year. In 2008, favorable factors and unfavorable factors in the domestic paste resin market coexist, and it is expected that there will be relatively large fluctuations in the market and price competition will be inevitable.